2054 SCENARIO BRIEF
In 2014 people were talking about an
earthquake which will be expected to happen in recent times... In 2044, this
earthquake happened around Izmir. Because of earthquake, many people died and
many people lost their relatives.Therefore, social relations between humans
become more important. In 2054, Turkey started to evaluate Boron reserves so
national income started to increase. Most of Turkey’s external and internal
debts are paid off. But, In Izmir after earthquake, most people lost their
properties and it causes socio-economic class differences. Also, Because of
highly developed technology life quality of humans increased. In 2054, amount
of health utilities increased and all of them are incorporated. In 2054,
government started to support education and students financially.Compulsory
education become 12 years. In 2054,public education centers amount increased
and people started to spend their leisure times more efficient.Interest in
sport, science and art becomes more important.
Izmir,
because of its location, has geothermal energy, solar energy ,wind energy and
biogas renewable energy sources.In 2054,for taking more advantage from existing
sources, geothermal and biogass factories will be estabished, using geothermal
energy at heating and cooling in
buildings, greenhousing, thermal spas in tourism purposes, producing drinking
water containing minerals will become widespread. Also Izmir has a lot of wind energy and solar
energy potential. In 2054, amounts of windmills, solar panels and other
sunlight gathering equipments increased. Boron become essential element for
using as glass industry, ceramic industry, cleaning industry, agriculture,
metalurgy, fireproof material creating etc.In 2054, solar and wind power could
reduce fossil fuel consumption in shipping.With the development of technology,
transporting is based on cars, zeplins, electiric shuttle and airbus etc..
These are working with electiricity which will be produced with
bicycle,windmills etc. Public transportation will be based on airships and
solar-powered ships.High -tech industry will be developed such as automotive,
biotehnology, computer science, nanotechnology, robotics etc.. Many new
factories will be established. Manual
labor will almost give it’s place to machine and robotics labor.New materials
will be common such as wool bricks, solar tiles paper insulation, carbon fiber
etc.. Usage of concrete and plastics will be minimum.In 2014, spreading
unhealthy foods with Genetically Modified Organism (GMO) increased day by day
and people affected very badly.In 2054, there will be a lot of innovation in
food production.People will encouraged to natural and healthy food
production. Also, technology development
makes people life easier who work at agriculture.Because of the lack of water,
drip irrigation systems which spend less water will be prefered and vertical
farming become common.
As
an Envionmental Hypotheses of İzmir, In 2014, global warming effects become
more visible. Months average temperatures shifted. In 2054, global average
temperatures change which is around risen by 2.5°C. A lot of sectors are
affected by global warming. In 2014, because of using sources such as, coal,
fuel etc and industrial sewage, air pollution increased. In 2054, electricity
or sustainable fuel usage at transportation vehicles become mandatory in
Turkey. In 2014,because of global warming, low rain water average and
unconscious usage of water, quantity of water decreased. In 2054, water saving
methods will be developed. Underground water is used for heating, watering and
industrial area. In 2014, 87 new wells of underground water were begun
operating. In 2054, 110 more new wells will be opened with the aim of
supporting the water system. cBecause of the low rain water average, rain water
collection is getting important. In 2054, rain water conservation is mandatory
for every residential. In 2054, because of unconscious fishing and water
pollution, some types of fishes become extinct. The average body size of fish
has changed,birds migration times will be shifted and plants will decay faster.
This collage explains in 2054 İnciraltı proposal. Thinking of development about this site. These developments are transportation systems ( flying car, energy consumption bicycle and zeplin), argiculture, wind and sun energy, green area, natural area for human and animals) and other developments..
In 2040, Izmir exposed to very grievous earthquake.
Individual electiric cars on new roads.
Urban Analysis
Total area around 2500 hectar which means 25 km2.
Sun path wind direction diagram in İnciraltı site.
In this analysis existing important points of Inciraltı area. Dashed lines show main roads of site.Blue area show ferry station, red one show health center, white area show leisure time activities and cafes, yellow area show education and orange area show administrative facilities locations.
Around the site have ferry station, Marine, Restaurans, Filamingo Pride, Lagoon, Hotel and Museum etc..
Individual Phase
Because of our Scenerio
* Earthquake will be happenin 2040
* Climate 2.5 °C.
* Population decreasing
* Baron increase
* Argiculture increase
* Using Windmilss, Sun Energy and Geothermal energy.
For these reasons I focus on 4 main points to propose:
1. Harvesting
2. Relaxing
3. Leisure time activities
4. Living (Residential area)
Harvesting
- Green Areas
- Greenhouses
- Argiculture
- Garden buildings (Exhibition gardens)
Relaxing
- Geothermal Hotel
- Therapy Center
- Seating Steps and Observation Area
Leisure time activities
- Museum for Earthquake
- Restaurans
- Social Rooms
- New event plaza
Living (Residential area)
- Residential Area for wealthy people
- Residential Area for poor people
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