SCENARIO 3
''SECURITY FIRST''
Socio- Political Hypotheses
Social Relations:
In
2014 people were talking about an earthquake which will be expected to happen
in recent times... In 2044, this earthquake happened around Izmir. Because of
earthquake, many people died and many people lost their relatives.Therefore,
sensitivity and helping between humans become more important. After this
earthquake, many supports come around the world, around Turkey even from the
people who did not effect from the earthquake in Izmir.
Economic System:
Political Order:
Turkey’s
all external and internal debts are paid off. Turkey gain its economic
independence and welfare level increased. Turkey started discourage importation
and support home made production which are technological, agricultural etc..
But, In Izmir after earthquake, most people
lost their properties and it causes socio-economic class differences.
In
Turkey, capitalist regime is dominant.
In
2014, because of having a lot of external depts , Turkey sold out many health,
education and secure utilities. In 2054, Turkey take back all sold out
utilities and incorporate them. So, health, education and secure are not paid
anymore.
Population Size and Structure:
General
situation in Turkey, population continue to increase regularly. Young
population increased.
In
Izmir, because of earthquake population highly decreased. Amount of squaremeter
per person is increased.Normally, around the country, annual population growth
is nearly 0.012, but in Izmir because of earthquake, ratios changed. The
percentage of the death is 40.
Work Methods:
People
who didn’t lost their properties (are also the owners of this site) offers a
house from site and minimum wage to other people in return for working at urban
farming. Income of urban farming is employer’s.
Government
support citizens in any case who wants to open a new bussiness.
Mainstream Lifestyles:
Because
of highly developed technology life quality of humans increased. The earthquake
which caused a lot of loss affect other citizens deeply. Studies about
increasing life span and strengthening structures to prevent collapsing is
going on.
Health Issues:
Amount
of health utilities increased and all of them are incorporated. By development
of technology, health problems decrease.
Education and Culture:
Government
supports education and students financially.
Compulsory
education become 12 years ( high school should be finished) and students who
study at university are encouraged to work.
Due
to the forgotten Turkish culture, regaining studies developed and culture
become more important.
Leisure and Spiritual Needs:
Public education centers amount increased and people started to spend their leisure times more efficient.
Interest in sport, science and art becomes more important.
Environmental Hypotheses
Climate Regime:
Global warming causes global average temperatures change which around risen by 4°C. Because of this climate changing, growinf vegetables also changed.
Air Pollution:
In Turkey, because of increased air pollution ratio in 2054, Electricity or sustainable fuel usage at transportation vehicles become mandatory. At the same time, spreading usage of biogas and natural gases help reducing air pollution.
After earthquake, many residential areas collapsed and at the same time, population decreased, so that many residential areas are not necessary anymore. Therefore, some places which existed as a building area, turn to forest and green areas.
Water Availability:
Because of global warming, Most amount of poles will be melt and sea evel will increase about 20 cm, but quantity of water decreased, because of low rain water average.
For increasing usable water quantity, amount of dams will be increased. In 2014, Turkey has 503 dams.
In 2054, it will be nearly 610 dams.
Waste and Sewage Treatment:
Because of the low rain water average, rain water collection is getting important day by day. Water conservation is mandatory for every residential. Collected water into conservation system will be used for farming and indoor household.
Flora and Fauna Status:
Turkey shows a notable diversity of habitats, with significant variations in altitude, wainfall, temperature, topography and geological history, which reflected in its richness of animal and plant life.
Turkey is divided to 7 geographic regions. Mediterranean region is the most important area in terms of richness of endemic plants. East anatolia region has also a rich diversity of species and ranked secondly in terms of endemism rate.
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