11.03.2014 / Technical Hypotheses of Turkey in 2054 /3

SCENARIO 3

''SECURITY FIRST''

Energy Supply and Use:

 Because of the climate change and decreasing fossil fuel, in 2054 people provide those needs by renewable energy sources. For example; wind, solar, geothermal and sustainable forms of bio-energy.

  Wind Energy:

    Some values are represented like a graphics in 2014. Aegean Region of the Turkey have a %40,90 Capacity of Wind Power Plants. But, Izmir is second level of wind turbine. In 2054, Aegean Region will still be first compared to other regions in terms of Installed Capacity for Operational Wind Power Plants. Moreover, Izmir will be first compared to other cities and Balıkesir will be second.

   Solar Energy:

     In 2014, values of Izmir are like represented in graphics.According to chart average sunlight in a year is 7,82. In terms of sunlight Izmir has a big potential but usage of sunlight is weak. In 2054, because of ozone layer depletion, average of sunlight per a year increased. At the same time, storage and usage of sunlight technologies also developed. Therefore, amount of the solar panels and other sunlight gathering equipments increased.

  Geothermal Energy in Izmir:

         For the geothermal Energy sources, Izmir is one of the richest place around Turkey. Balçova coming foremost, Seferihisar, Çeşme, Dikili, Bergama, Aliağa and Bayındır districts are all very important geothermal sites.

     Through the current energy and with the new technology, People using geothermal energy for;

1.   Heating and cooling systems, 
2.   Electric power generation,
3.  Carbon dioxide, fertilizer, lithium, heavy water, chemicals, and mineral products such as hydrogen,
4.   Thermal spas in tourism purposes,
5.    At low temperatures (30 ° C) aquaculture,
6.   Producing drinking water containing minerals,

      Regarding the current installed power, there is no power plant generating electricity by the use of geothermal energy in İzmir province. In 2054, those centrals will be built.

 Available Material Resources:

In 2014, Turkey has Boron potential, but there was no process, it was only sold as a raw material to foreign countries. In 2054, this process developed and boron become essential element for using as glass industry, ceramic industry, cleaning and whiting industry, agriculture, metalurgy, fireproof material creating etc.

          Mineral Map of Izmir

 Manufactures Systems:

Biogas is a mixture of gases which can be produced from regionally available raw materials such as recycled waste and is a renewable energy source and in many cases.

Applications area are:

1.Burningfor heating

2. As a motor fuel for transportation

3.Turbine fuel for generating electricity

4.Usage at fuel cell

5.Addition to existing natural gases for reducing cost

6.Producing chemical materials

In 2014, there is one facility to produce biogas at Kocaeli. In 2054, amount of those facilities increased and biogas usage become common. 

 Communication and Transportation:

    With the development of technology, transporting is based on cars, zeplins, electiric shuttle and airbus etc.. These are working with electiricity which will be produced with bicycle, windmills etc.

      Producing green bicycle which whell turns any pedal- powered cycle into an electiric one by fitting a special electiric motor wheel. The bike is recharged through pedalling or the mains.

The air vehicles, the idea of having a part car and part plane at the same vehicle which is future design technology. This air vehichles will bring a lot of convenience.

  Food Production:

Spreading unhealthy foods with Genetically Modified Organism (GMO) decreased day by day and at least finished. People encouraged to organic and healthy food production. Also, technology development makes people life easier who work at agriculture.

07.03.2014 / Architectural Scenario for 2054 /2

SCENARIO 2

''SECURITY FIRST''

Socio- Political Hypotheses:

Geophysical engineers researching about a big earthquake which will be expected to happen around nearly 50 years.. In 2040, this earthquake happened around Izmir. Therefore, many people died and many places were destroyed. 

After earthquake population of Izmir and around cities of Izmir highly decresed. 

Technical Hypotheses:

With the development of technology, transporting is based on cars, zeplins, electiric shuttle and airbus etc.. These are working with electiricity which will be produced with bicycle, windmills etc..

Producing green bicycle which whell turns any pedal- powered cycle into an electiric one by fitting a special electiric motor wheel. The bike is recharged through pedalling or the mains.

 The air vehicles, the idea of having a part car and part plane at the same vehicle which is future design technology. This air vehichles will bring a lot of convenience.

Renewable Sources:

    Because of the climate change and decreasing fossil fuel, in 2054 people provide those needs renewable energy sources. For example; wind, solar, geothermal and sustainable forms of bio-energy.

Wind Energy:

    Some values are represented like a graphics in 2014. Aegean Region of the Turkey have a %40,90 Capacity of Wind Power Plants. But, Izmir is second level of wind turbine. In 2054, , Aegean Region will still be first compared to other regions in terms of Installed Capacity for Operational Wind Power Plants. Moreover, Izmir will be first compared to other cities and Balıkesir will be second.

   

 Geothermal Energy in Izmir:

     For the geothermal Energy sources, Izmir is one of the richest place around Turkey. Balçova coming foremost, Seferihisar, Çeşme, Dikili, Bergama, Aliağa and Bayındır districts are all very important geothermal sites.

   Through the current energy and with the new technology, People using geothermal energy for;

1.   Heating and cooling systems, 
2.   Electric power generation,
3.  Carbon dioxide, fertilizer, lithium, heavy water, chemicals, and mineral products such as hydrogen,
4.   Thermal spas in tourism purposes,
5.    At low temperatures (30 ° C) aquaculture,
6.   Producing drinking water containing minerals,

   

Regarding the current installed power, there is no power plant generating electricity by the use of geothermal energy in İzmir province. In 2054, those centrals will be built.

Environmental Hypotheses:

After an earthquake the city have al lot of damage and for a reason of low rain water rate, government mandotory urban farming. 

As the days progressed annual rainfall rates is decreasing. Thus, the importance of water in human life is increasing. Because of this reason, water collection is getting important. Water conservation is mandatory for every residential.Collected water into conservation system will be used for farming and indoor household.   

    

                  

Socio-Economic Hypotheses:

     After earthquake, most people lost their properties and it causes socio-economic class differences.

     People who didn’t lost their properties (are also the owners of this site) offers a house from site and minimum wage to other people in return for working at urban farming. Income of urban farming is employer’s.

Ourselves in Scenario:

    We are partners of one of the most famous architectural office in Turkey. Owners of the site organize a competition for architects to design the urban planning. Many architects participate the competition but our firm is chosen because of having the most sustainable proposal.

04.03.2014 / Architectural Scenario for 2054 /1

SCENARIO 1

'' SECURITY FIRST''

Socio-Political Hypotheses:

In 2054, due to difference of opinion civil war happened between conservative and liberal people in Turkey. As a result of civil war many people died and migrated. This also caused change of Turkey's population and structure. Due to difference opinion Turkey divided into two parts. East side of Turkey migrate to liberal people, west side of Turkey for conservatives. 

After population and migration, Turkey population  highly decreased. Also, population of Izmir reducing.

Technical Hypotheses:

With the development of technology, transporting is based on cars, zeplins, electiric shuttle and airbus etc.. These are working with electiricity which will be produced with bicycle, windmills etc..

 

Renewable Sources:

Because of the climate change and decreasing fossil fuel, in 2054 people provide those needs renewable energy sources. For example; wind, solar, geothermal and sustainable forms of bio-energy.

Socio-Economic Hypotheses:

After civil war, occured some  socio-economic class differences. Thus, people divided two part upper level people who are wealthy and powerful groups and lower level who are needly groups. 

For this reason,site divided into two parts as a living space. Wealthy class and lower class strictly seperated. 

Enviromental Hypotheses:

Because of the class differentation, urban farming is mandatory for lower level of people. But, upper level of people have to provide of all expenses. They have a responsibility of lower class people.

As the days progressed annual rainfall rates is decreasing. Thus, the importance of water in human life is increasing. Because of this reason, water collection is getting important. Water conservation is mandatory for every residential.Collected water into conservation system will be used for farming and indoor household.